2011 Draft

Breaking Down The Colbert Pick For Pick Draft Day Trades With The Trade Value Chart

After writing about why I think the Steelers should do their best to trade out of the 1st round of the 2011 NFL draft that begins Thursday night, I was curious to the value that Director of Football Operations Kevin Colbert has gotten in pick for pick trades since he took over in 2000. I have written about the trading history of Colbert this past offseason and have taken those trades listed there and applied the NFL draft pick value chart to them in the data below.

As you can see, Colbert has done a great job trading picks for picks and only once, in 2001, did he not gain value in trading down. In that deal though, the Steelers were able to get the man they were targeting in Casey Hampton and picked up 2 additional picks in the process.

Colbert has done a very good job in addition when trading up, especially in 2003 when he not only gained 21.3% value, but also got Troy Polamalu with the pick. Also in his 5 trades up, he has never given up more than 3.87% in trade value.

Should the Steelers trade down Thursday night, I expect that Colbert will once again only do so if he gets comparable value and he will not just give the pick away. Colbert sits in the driver seat as the Steelers will likely not initiate the action with multiple teams likely trying to move up.

2001 Traded Down – Traded 2001 first round pick (#16 – Santana Moss) to Jets for 2001 first round pick (#19 – Casey Hampton), 2001 fourth round pick (#111 – Mathias Nkwenti), 2001 sixth round pick (#181 – Rodney Bailey) on 04-21-2001
Steelers Pick # Value Jets Pick # Value
16 100 19 875
* * 111 72
* * 181 20
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 1000 Steelers: -3.30%
Jets Value: 967 Jets: +3.41%
2001 Traded Up – Traded 2001 second round pick (#50 – Dominic Raiola), 2001 fourth round pick (#112 – Carlos Polk) to Patriots for 2001 second round pick (#39 – Kendrell Bell) on 04-21-2001
Steelers Pick # Value Patriots Pick # Value
50 400 39 510
112 70 * *
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 470 Steelers: +8.51%
Patriots Value: 510 Patriots: -7.84%
2003 Traded Up – Traded 2003 first round pick (#27 – Larry Johnson), 2003 third round pick (#92 – Julian Battle), 2003 sixth round pick (#200 – Brooks Bollinger) to Chiefs for 2003 first round pick (#16 – Troy Polamalu) on 04-26-2003
Steelers Pick # Value Chiefs Pick # Value
27 680 16 1000
92 132 * *
200 12.4 * *
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 824.4 Steelers: +21.30%
Chiefs Value: 1000 Chiefs: -17.56%
2004 Traded Up – Traded 2004 second round pick (#44 – Bob Sanders), 2004 fourth round pick (#107 – Kendyll Pope) to Colts for 2004 second round pick (#38 – Ricardo Colclough) on 04-24-2004
Steelers Pick # Value Colts Pick # Value
44 460 38 520
107 80 * *
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 540 Steelers: -3.70%
Colts Value: 520 Colts: +3.85%
2006 Traded Up – Traded 2006 first round pick (#32 – Mathias Kiwanuka), 2006 third round pick (#96 – Gerris Wilkinson), 2006 fourth round pick (#129 – Guy Whimper) to Giants for 2006 first round pick (#25 – Santonio Holmes) on 04-29-2006
Steelers Pick # Value Giants Pick # Value
32 590 25 720
96 116 * *
129 43 * *
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 749 Steelers: -3.87%
Giants Value: 720 Giants: +4.03%
2006 Traded Down – Traded 2006 second round pick (#64 – Tarvaris Jackson) to Vikings for 2006 third round pick (#83 – Anthony Smith), 2006 third round pick (#95 – Willie Reid) on 04-29-2006
Steelers Pick # Value Vikings Pick # Value
64 270 83 175
* * 95 120
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 270 Steelers: +9.26%
Vikings Value: 295 Vikings: -8.47%
2007 Traded Up – Traded 2007 fourth round pick (#119 – Allen Barbre), 2007 sixth round pick (#192 – Desmond Bishop) to Packers for 2007 fourth round pick (#112 – Daniel Sepulveda) on 04-29-2007
Steelers Pick # Value Packers Pick # Value
119 56 112 70
192 15.6 * *
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 71.6 Steelers: -2.23%
Packers Value: 70 Packers: +2.29%
2008 Traded Down – Traded 2008 fourth round pick (#123 – Bryan Kehl) to Giants for 2008 fourth round pick (#130 – Tony Hills), 2008 sixth round pick (#194 – Ryan Mundy) on 04-27-2008
Steelers Pick # Value Giants Pick # Value
123 49 130 42
* * 194 14.8
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 49 Steelers: +15.92%
Giants Value: 56.8 Giants: -13.73%
2009 Traded Down – Traded 2009 second round pick (#64 – Richard Quinn), 2009 fourth round pick (#132 – Seth Olsen) to Broncos for two 2009 third round picks (#79 – Kraig Urbik) (#84 – Mike Wallace) on 04-25-2009
Steelers Pick # Value Giants Pick # Value
64 270 79 195
132 40 84 170
Trade Totals Gain/Loss %
Steelers Value: 310 Steelers: +17.74%
Broncos Value: 365 Broncos: -15.07%
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