I know that all of you got up early in anticipation of the Week 3 TOX Stats being released and I have them complied for you below.
In Week 3, teams with a plus two or better TOX stat went 7-2 (77.8%). The Miami Dolphins and Tennessee Titans were the two teams not to win this past week with a plus two or better number.
Year to date, teams with a plus two or better TOX stat are 27-4 (87.1%). Keep in mind that the expected number should be 80% or better.
As for the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3, they were plus four in their Sunday night win over the Carolina Panthers. For the season, they are now minus three.
I’d like to remind you that we are tracking penalty plays this season that result in a gain of 20 or more yards as well. If you need a refresher on the TOX stat, it’s a differential of combined explosive plays and turnovers in a single game. Teams with a plus two TOX stat in any given game are expected to win 80% of the time.
If this stat is not your cup of tea, feel free to just skip over it every week. If you find any mistakes, please let me know in the comments.
| WEEK 3 | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | DIFF | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | DIFF | TOX | W/L | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | P 20+ | R 20+ | F 20+ | P 20+ | R 20+ | F 20+ | DIFF 20+ | INT | FUM | INT | FUM | TO DIFF | TOX | W/L |
| IND | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| ATL | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | W |
| DAL | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| ARI | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | W |
| PIT | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| SD | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| MIA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| TEN | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | L |
| DET | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | W |
| NE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| PHI | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| MIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | L |
| BAL | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | W |
| CHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| NYG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| CLE | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | L |
| HOU | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | L |
| NYJ | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | L |
| NO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | W |
| GNB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | L |
| OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | L |
| WAS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | L |
| CIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | W |
| KC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2 | W |
| DEN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2 | L |
| BUF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | L |
| CAR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4 | L |
| SF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | L |
| STL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -5 | L |
| TB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7 | L |
| JAX | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | -5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -8 | L |
| YTD | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | DIFF | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | DIFF | TOX | W/L | ||||||
| TEAM | P 20+ | R 20+ | F 20+ | P 20+ | R 20+ | F 20+ | DIFF 20+ | INT | FUM | INT | FUM | TO DIFF | TOX | W/L |
| BUF | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2-1 |
| PHI | 15 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 | 3-0 |
| ARI | 13 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3-0 |
| CIN | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3-0 |
| HOU | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2-1 |
| SEA | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2-1 |
| ATL | 15 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 5 | 2-1 |
| BAL | 10 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2-1 |
| CAR | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2-1 |
| SD | 11 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2-1 |
| TEN | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 |
| NE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2-1 |
| MIN | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1-2 |
| DAL | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 2-1 |
| DET | 11 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 2-1 |
| IND | 12 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 |
| WAS | 11 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 |
| KC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 0 | 1-2 |
| SF | 11 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 |
| CLE | 10 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 1-2 |
| GNB | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 1-2 |
| NYJ | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -1 | 1-2 |
| PIT | 10 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -3 | 2-1 |
| CHI | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | -8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2-1 |
| NO | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -4 | 1-2 |
| DEN | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 2-1 |
| MIA | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -5 | 1-2 |
| OAK | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -7 | 0-3 |
| TB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -4 | -7 | 0-3 |
| NYG | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | -5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -9 | 1-2 |
| STL | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -10 | 1-2 |
| JAX | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 0 | -11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -13 | 0-3 |
