It is time to look at the week 10 TOX stats now and teams with a plus 2 TOX this week went 10-2 overall. The Browns and the Falcons were the two teams that lost in this group and they both had great shots to win as the Browns missed a late field goal that likely would have won it and the Falcons blew their game in overtime.
Year to date in head to head games the plus 2 teams are 80-20 for the greatly predicted 80% winning percentage. It is amazing how this stat lives up to its billing.
Teams with a mere positive TOX stat went 13-2 this week. Teams with a positive turnover differential went 10-1 overall and teams with a positive explosive play differential went 10-4 this week.
Year to date now we have seen the Lions fall out of the top 4 after their minus 7 TOX number against the Bears this past week and that puts the Bears tied with the Lions with a plus 16 TOX number. The new leader is the Texans and although it seems they have lost quarterback Matt Schaub for the year, they will likely get explosive receiver Andre Johnson back this week. Matt Leinart should be serviceable enough to win a few games for them as long as the Texans defense continues playing well.
The Steelers slowly are inching up over the last few weeks and they get the Chiefs after the bye week. Odds are high the Chiefs could very well be last in TOX after their upcoming Monday night game against the Patriots. The Steelers have also passed the Ravens finally after spotting them a healthy TOX number back in week 1. The Ravens had a shocking minus 7 TOX against the Seahawks on Sunday and were one of two teams this week without an explosive play on offense.
The only team with a minus TOX right now likely to make the playoffs is the Patriots.
If you are just finding this, make sure to look back at the links below to get a better understanding of what the TOX stat actually is and how it works. Week 1 is a great place to start as it also includes a video explaining it all.
Week 1 TOX Stats
Week 2 TOX Stats
Week 3 TOX Stats
Week 4 TOX Stats
Week 5 TOX Stats
Week 6 TOX Stats
Week 7 TOX Stats
Week 8 TOX Stats
Week 9 TOX Stats
|Team||Pass 20+||Run 20+||Pass 20+||Run 20+||20+ DIFF||TO DIF||TOX||W/L|
|Green Bay Packers||5||0||3||0||2||0||2||W|
|San Francisco 49ers||3||0||3||0||0||1||1||W|
|New England Patriots||4||0||6||0||-2||3||1||W|
|New York Jets||6||0||4||0||2||-3||-1||L|
|New York Giants||3||0||3||0||0||-1||-1||L|
|New Orleans Saints||5||0||7||1||-3||1||-2||W|
|Kansas City Chiefs||1||0||1||2||-2||0||-2||L|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||3||0||2||0||1||-4||-3||L|
|St. Louis Rams||2||1||5||1||-3||-1||-4||W|
|San Diego Chargers||5||0||7||2||-4||0||-4||L|
2011 YTD TOX
|San Francisco 49ers||22|
|Green Bay Packers||7|
|New York Giants||4|
|New York Jets||4|
|New Orleans Saints||2|
|San Diego Chargers||1|
|New England Patriots||-3|
|St. Louis Rams||-17|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-19|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-20|