2012 Schedule

Pittsburgh Steelers 2012 Schedule Preview: Week 12 & 17 Analysis Versus Cleveland Browns

By Christopher DiMarino

This is another entry in a set of early looks at the teams the Pittsburgh Steelers will play in the 2012-13 season. The goal is to acclimate the average Steelers fan to the offseason changes each team has made. This will make the in-depth analysis in the week before the game more familiar and understandable.

Who: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

What: Week 12 Regular Season Matchup

Where: Cleveland Browns Stadium

When: 1:00 EST Sunday November 25th, 2012

How: CBS

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Who: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

What: Week 17 Regular Season Matchup

Where: Heinz Field

When: 1:00 EST Sunday December 30th, 2012

How: CBS

Key Free Agent Additions and Losses:

Key Free Agent Additions and Losses
Position Name 2011 Team 2012 Team Role
DE Juqua Parker Philadelphia Eagles Cleveland Browns 1st String Backup
DE Frostee Rucker Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns Starter
P Spencer Lanning Chicago Bears Cleveland Browns Depth
RB Peyton Hillis Cleveland Browns Kansas City Chiefs Starter/Injury
RB Armond Smith Cleveland Browns Carolina Panthers Depth
DE Jayme Mitchell Cleveland Browns Tampa Bay Buccaneers Starter
OT/G Artis Hicks Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins 1st String Backup
G/C Steve Vallos Cleveland Browns Philadelphia Eagles 1st String Backup
G Eric Steinbach Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins Starter / Injury
FS Mike Adams Cleveland Browns Denver Broncos Starter
OT Tony Pashos Cleveland Browns CUT Starter
MLB Titus Brown Cleveland Browns UFA 1st String Backup
LB Brian Smith Cleveland Browns Released 1st String Backup
P Richmond McGee Cleveland Browns CUT Starter / Injury
P Brad Maynard Cleveland Browns UFA Injury Starter

The Cleveland Browns were not very active in free agency. At first glance, it might seem like they lost a lot more than they gained, but it\’s misleading. Cleveland picked up two pretty good defensive ends and only really lost Peyton Hillis and a no name free safety.

  • By signing Frostee Rucker, the Browns upgraded at defensive end and let Jayme Mitchell go to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The Browns lost a few veteran offensive lineman, but with their cap situation, I think these losses were premeditated.
  • Mike Adams was a big contributor at free safety and his 64 tackles and 3 interceptions in 2011 will be missed.
  • I\’ve never seen a team so unhappy (or unlucky) with punters.

2012 Draft Analysis:

2012 Draft Recap
Position Name Round College Height Weight
RB Trent Richardson 1.3(3rd) Alabama 5\’9 228
QB Brandon Weeden 1.22(22nd) Oklahoma St. 6\’4 221
OT Mitchell Schwartz 2.5(37th) California 6\’5 318
DT John Hughes 3.24(87th) Cincinnati 6\’2 309
WR Travis Benjamin 4.5(100th) Miami 5\’10 172
ILB James-Michael Johnson 4.25(120th) Nevada 6\’1 241
G Ryan Miller 5.25(160th) Colorado 6\’7 321
OLB Emmanuel Acho 6.34(204th) Texas 6\’1 238
DT Billy Winn 6.35(205th) Boise St. 6\’4 298
CB Trevin Wade 7.38(245th) Arizona 5\’10 192
TE Brad Smelley 7.40(247th) Alabama 6\’2 237
WR **Josh Gordon** 2nd Baylor 6\’3 225

** Supplemental Draft Selection (2013 draft pick surrendered)**

The Browns made up for their uninvolved free agency with an 11 player draft. They had an abundance of picks because of 4 compensatory picks and a pair of trades with the Denver Broncos.

  • The most notable trade was occurred when the Browns traded up 2 spots for Trent Richardson. They made a bold and respectable move to grab one of the more polished and NFL ready running backs in the past few drafts.
  • They then made a questionable move grabbing Brandon Weeden at 22nd overall. Many thought Weeden would be available at their early 2nd round pick, so the move is a bit perplexing.
  • Regardless of value, these two players figure to be starters for the Browns in 2012. This change could be fantastic or result in a catastrophe, but either way it will be exciting to watch.
  • Mitchell Schwartz was considered a late 2nd to early 3rd round prospect, but the Browns gambled on him early in the 2nd round, which might have lead to the Steelers taking T Mike Adams.
  • James-Michael Johnson was considered a good mid round candidate to challenge Stevenson Sylvester and Larry Foote at the BUCK Inside Linebacker position, but the Steelers opted to draft linebacker Sean Spence in the 3rd round instead.
  • Cleveland made the news when they took Josh Gordon with a 2nd round pick in the supplemental draft. This was an aggressive move but was clearly an effort to equip Weeden before his rookie season.

 

Coaching Staff:

Pat Shurmur is returning for his second year as head coach of the Browns. He began coaching in the NFL in 1999 with the Philadelphia Eagles. He upgraded from tight ends to quarterbacks coach before being hired as the offensive coordinator for the St. Louis Rams. Shurmur had a rough first season as the Browns head coach, but inherited a below average roster. He also had a very limited amount of time to install his system because of the lockout. This team could be in for a big jump with a whole camp and preseason under their belt.

Brad Childress was hired as Cleveland\’s new offensive coordinator. In 2011, the Browns actually played without an offensive coordinator as Shurmur assumed that role as well. The previous offensive coordinator was Brian Daboll. Childress was fired by the Minnesota Vikings in 2010 after he accrued a 3-7 record after 10 games. He was the Vikings head coach for 5 years and amassed a 39-35 record overall including consecutive playoff appearances in 2008-2009.

The returning defensive coordinator for the Browns entering his second season is Dick Jauron. Jauron has been a defensive contributor or head coach for several teams in the NFL but has never really stuck. In fact, aside from an early job as a defensive backs coach for the Green Bay Packers, he hasn\’t lasted more than 5 years on a team. He owns a 60-82 record in 9 seasons as a head coach split between the Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills. In 2011, he replaced Rob Ryan, who left to become the defensive coordinator in Dallas.

Aside from Childress there are 3 new coaches on the Browns in 2012. Cleveland hired a new offensive and defensive senior assistant as well as Tim Hauck to be the new defensive backs coach. Shawn Mennenga is the special teams coordinator and is currently in his 2nd year with the Browns.

Last Year\’s Stats:

2011 Team Stats
OFFENSE
Stat Browns Rank Steelers Rank NFL Average
Yards/Game 288.8 29 372.3 12 346.8
Points/Game 13.6 30 20.3 21 22.2
Pass Yards/Game 193.1 24 253.4 10 229.7
Rush Yards/Game 95.7 28 118.9 14 117.1
First Downs/Game 17.4 25 21.3 9 19.5
Interceptions (2011) 13 8 15 17 16
Interception Rate 2.28% 10 2.78% 18 2.91%
Fumbles Lost (2011) 6 5 13 26 10
Sacks Allowed (2011) 39 18 42 23 37
Sack Rate 6.84% 17 7.79% 23 6.82%
Avg Time of Possession 29:07:00 23 32:33:00 2 30:00:00
DEFENSE
Stat Browns Rank Steelers Rank NFL Average
Yards/Game 332.4 10 271.8 1 346.8
Points/Game 19.2 5 14.2 1 22.2
Pass Yards/Game 184.2 9 171.9 1 229.7
Rush Yards/Game 147.4 30 99.8 8 117.1
First Downs/Game 18.8 13 16.5 1 19.5
Interceptions (2011) 9 28 11 24 16
Interception Rate 1.92% 25 2.08% 24 2.91%
Fumbles Recovered (2011) 11 7 4 30 10
Sacks (2011) 32 23 35 17 37
Sack Rate 6.82% 15 6.60% 18 6.82%
SPECIAL TEAMS
Stat Browns Rank Steelers Rank NFL Average
Punt Return Avg For 11.1 9 10.5 13 9.9
Punt Return Avg Against 11.7 23 8.4 12 9.9
Kick Return Avg For 23.6 17 25.1 8 23.8
Kick Return Avg Against 22.9 12 23.7 16 23.8
Field Goals Made 82.76% 17 74.19% 31 82.89%
EFFICIENCY
Stat Browns Rank Steelers Rank NFL Average
Turnover Differential 1 13 -13 28 0
3rd Down % Offense 38.66% 12 45.92% 4 38.00%
3rd Down % Defense 41.30% 24 38.91% 19 38.00%
4th Down % Offense 55.56% 8 37.50% 19 43.26%
4th Down % Defense 42.86% 17 61.54% 28 43.26%
Red Zone % Offense 41.94% 28 50.94% 18 52.18%
Red Zone % Defense 40.82% 3 54.84% 17 52.18%

Cleveland had a rough statistical year in 2011. Their offense was one of the worst in the NFL but didn\’t turn the ball over too much. The Browns defense had highs and lows, but some of the stats are skewed because of their poor performance on the scoreboard. They were average on special teams and about the same in terms of efficiency.

In 2010, Hillis became the heart and soul of this offense, so when he missed multiple weeks in 2011 because of injuries, the Browns offense had some identity issues. Their rushing yards were right near the bottom of the NFL and their passing yards, points scored and first downs weren\’t much better. However, even with their poor offensive performance, which led to below average time of possession, they did a good job of securing the ball. The Browns ranked in the top 10 for fumbles lost and interceptions thrown.

A quick look at the Cleveland defense can be misleading. They ranked in the top 10 in points allowed and passing yards, but allowed the 3rd most rushing yards. What the stats sheet doesn\’t show is that opposing teams would establish early leads on the Browns and then play a conservative running styled game to grind out the victory. So had the Browns offense put more points on the board, opposing teams might have passed more and could have lead to more points. Another indicator of this trend is the fact that the Browns sack total ranked 23rd, while their sack rate was 15th.

The Browns were right around average returning and covering kicks. Josh Cribbs remains their primary kick and punt returner and amassed just over 1300 yards and 1 touchdown. Phil Dawson is still kicking strong after 13 years with the Browns. His almost 83% kicking accuracy ranked right in the middle of the NFL, but what\’s alarming is that he missed 2 kicks from between 20 and 29 yards.

Final Remarks:

The Browns are now considered the little brother of the AFC North more than ever. Since Cincinnati finally looks ready to re-establish themselves as a perennial competitor, Cleveland will have to step it up to become relevant. They made some bold moves this offseason by releasing a lot of players and drafting aggressively. They have a coaching staff entering its sophomore year for the most part. This team looks like it still needs more, but they are beginning the rebuilding process well.

I have a bone to pick with the Weeden draft pick. There has been opposing opinions, but I think Colt McCoy could have been different with better weapons. Instead, the Browns drafted Weeden and effectively have given up on McCoy. However, they are just putting another quarterback in the same mess. They could\’ve used that 1st round pick to draft a receiver and give themselves an arsenal. While Cleveland used a 2013 2nd round pick to select Gordon out of Baylor, I\’m not sold on him. There\’s always baggage with supplemental drafted players, and Gordon only had one good season in college.

I also disagree with the fundamental way that Cleveland is rebuilding. When you\’re in a rebuilding phase, it can be counterproductive to be aggressive. A team like Cleveland should be conservative and pool their picks on talented players rather than gambling on old men or suspended players. Having an early pick in every round is an advantage that should be built on by putting a focus on scouting. So while I think Cleveland made some good moves, they always seem to make a few questionable ones to offset.

Key Stat:

Supremacy. In the past decade, the Browns have only beaten the Steelers 2 times. The Steelers have beaten the Browns 20 times in that time frame. That means that the Browns should have around a 9% chance of beating the Steelers in 2012. Obviously past stats mean nothing going forward, but with Dick LeBeau\’s history against rookie quarterbacks, this Steelers over Browns supremacy has a good chance of continuing in 2012.

Follow me on twitter @chrisdimarino

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