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2015 NFL TOX Stats: Weeks 1 & 2

I’ve finally gotten around to tabulating the TOX stats from the first two weeks of the 2015 NFL season and as expected, the plus-two number is alive and well.

In Week 1, teams that finished a game with a plus-two or better TOX stat went 8-2 (80%). If you know the history related to this stat, that’s the exact expected win percentage.

In Week 2, teams that finished a game with a plus-two or better TOX stat went 9-1 (90%). Year-to-date, the plus-two teams are 17-3 (85%).

Curiously enough, the Pittsburgh Steelers were one of the three teams that have lost with a plus-two TOX stat. That happened in their Week 1 loss to the New England Patriots.

In case you need a refresher, a TOX stat is derived by finding the differential in a single game of all turnovers and explosive plays of 20 yards or more. It should be noted, however, that plays that produce 20 or more yards as a result of a penalty are not factored in.

As usual, I will continue to track the TOX stat throughout the season.

If you would like to learn more about the importance of the TOX stat, you can watch this old video.

WEEK 1
TM O20+ D20+ OTO DTO TOX W/L
BUF 6 2 0 3 7 W
CIN 5 0 0 2 7 W
NYJ 3 3 1 5 4 W
CAR 3 2 1 3 3 W
MIA 4 2 1 2 3 W
PIT 5 1 1 0 3 L
STL 8 3 3 1 3 W
TEN 5 3 1 2 3 W
ATL 6 4 2 2 2 W
NYG 2 3 0 3 2 L
BAL 2 0 2 1 1 L
CHI 6 4 1 0 1 L
KAN 2 3 0 2 1 W
NOR 5 4 1 1 1 L
DET 4 5 2 3 0 L
MIN 2 2 1 1 0 L
SDG 5 4 3 2 0 W
SFO 2 2 1 1 0 W
ARI 4 5 1 1 -1 W
DEN 0 2 1 2 -1 W
GNB 4 6 0 1 -1 W
HOU 3 2 2 0 -1 L
DAL 3 2 3 0 -2 W
PHI 4 6 2 2 -2 L
JAX 2 3 3 1 -3 L
NWE 1 5 0 1 -3 W
SEA 3 8 1 3 -3 L
TAM 3 5 2 1 -3 L
WAS 2 4 2 1 -3 L
CLE 3 3 5 1 -4 L
IND 2 6 3 0 -7 L
OAK 0 5 2 0 -7 L
WEEK 2
TM O20+ D20+ OTO DTO TOX W/L
MIN 3 0 1 3 5 W
PIT 6 2 0 1 5 W
WAS 6 1 1 0 4 W
CHI 6 3 2 2 3 L
CLE 3 3 0 3 3 W
GNB 4 2 1 2 3 W
NYJ 4 5 1 5 3 W
CAR 3 1 1 1 2 W
NWE 7 6 2 3 2 W
TAM 5 4 2 3 2 W
BAL 8 6 2 1 1 L
CIN 4 4 2 3 1 W
DAL 2 2 2 3 1 W
DEN 2 5 1 5 1 W
JAX 5 4 0 0 1 W
ATL 3 4 0 1 0 W
NYG 4 3 1 0 0 L
MIA 4 5 0 0 -1 L
OAK 6 8 1 2 -1 W
PHI 2 2 3 2 -1 L
SDG 4 4 3 2 -1 L
BUF 6 7 3 2 -2 L
HOU 1 3 1 1 -2 L
NOR 4 5 3 2 -2 L
ARI 3 6 2 2 -3 W
IND 5 4 5 1 -3 L
KAN 5 4 5 1 -3 L
SEA 2 4 2 1 -3 L
TEN 3 3 3 0 -3 L
STL 1 6 0 1 -4 L
DET 0 3 3 1 -5 L
SFO 2 6 1 0 -5 L
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