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Kozora 2015 53 Man Roster Prediction: Post HOF Game

With 13 practices and a preseason game in the books, there’s a clearer – though still partly cloudy – picture of who is going to make the Pittsburgh Steelers’ roster. Here’s my second crack at predicting the roster and practice squad.

Offense (23)

Quarterback (2) – Ben Roethlisberger, Bruce Gradkowski 

Analysis: (No Changes) I’ll continue to stubbornly state my case against Landry Jones, universally panned as not being worthy of making the 53 man roster. It seems insane for us to repeat that line and then throw him onto the roster anyway attached with a “that’s what they always do” cavaet. Eventually, that’ll change. That starts this year.

Running Back (3) – DeAngelo Williams, Josh Harris, Dri Archer

Analysis: (No Changes) Le’Veon Bell obviously joins the roster after Week Two.

Fullback (1) – Will Johnson

Analysis: (No Changes) Nothing to add here. Roosevelt Nix shouldn’t be seen as competition.

Tight End (3) – Heath Miller, Matt Spaeth, Jesse James

Analysis: (No Changes) Even if I wanted to exclude James from the roster, and I don’t, there’s no one to replace him with. Barring injury, this trio isn’t going to change for the rest of the preseason.

Wide Receiver (5) – Antonio Brown, Markus Wheaton, Martavis Bryant, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Sammie Coates

Analysis: (No Change) Ran out of room to put C.J. Goodwin on here. Still four games left and plenty of time, but his performance in the HOF game wasn’t exactly impressive either.

Offensive Tackle (4) – Kelvin Beachum, Marcus Gilbert, Mike Adams, Alejandro Villanueva

Analysis: (No Changes) Villanueva’s strong performance only strengthens, though doesn’t yet lock, his roster spot. If Mike Munchak gets to keep nine, they won’t have to even entertain the idea of choosing between him and Adams.

Offensive Guard/Center (5) – Ramon Foster, Maurkice Pouncey, David DeCastro, Cody Wallace, Chris Hubbard

Analysis: (One Change) B.J.Finney could still work his way onto the roster and I’m the first to say Hubbard’s performance was poor in the Hall of Fame game. But he is the veteran who spent the whole year on the roster while Finney is still a rookie UDFA. Advantage Hubbard until someone proves he can knock him off.

Defense (27)

Defensive End (4) – Cameron Heyward, Stephon Tuitt, Cam Thomas, L.T. Walton

Analysis: (Two Changes) Arguably the biggest shift in my roster. Clifton Geathers is gone and I’ve officially whiffed on the notion Matt Conrath could make this roster. That vaults Thomas into the #3 spot, leaving the only discussion about who will grab the #4. Ethan Hemer presents good competition, and uses his hands more efficiently than the rookie. But Walton is undoubtedly a better athlete.

Nose Tackle (2) – Steve McLendon, Daniel McCullers

Analysis: (No Changes) Both guys are locks.

Outside Linebacker (5) – Jarvis Jones, Arthur Moats, James Harrison, Bud Dupree, Anthony Chickillo

Analysis: (One Change) Welp, the Shawn Lemon prediction failed miserably. Unlesss there’s a big change from Howard Jones, I really don’t see him as competition to Chickillo. Jones will flash but is far too inconsistent and frankly, unrefined and unprepared as a pass rusher, to make him a serious threat to the already more refined Chickillo.

Inside Linebacker (5) – Lawrence Timmons, Ryan Shazier, Vince Williams, Sean Spence, Terence Garvin

Analysis: (No Changes) And this group isn’t changing, provided they all stay healthy.

Cornerback (6) – William Gay, Cortez Allen, Brandon Boykin, Antwon Blake, Doran Grant, B.W. Webb 

Analysis: (One Change) Adding Boykin to replace Senquez Golson, who is likely to start the year on the reserve/PUP list. Every team needs a guy like B.W. Webb so he snags the 6th spot.

Safety (5) – Mike Mitchell, Shamarko Thomas, Will Allen, Robert Golden, Ross Ventrone

Analysis: (One Change) Alden Darby and Ian Wild are making a strong push, but the thought of them going from complete unknowns to the 53 man roster seems a little too strong. This is a position that will create some difficult decisions. The Steelers seem is determined to keep him around after discarding so many other players. His special teams prowess gets him on. The worry is that since he’s a vested veteran, the team will cut him to avoid paying him a full year salary should he get released mid-way through the year.

Special Teams (3)

Kicker (1) – Garrett Hartley

Analysis: (One Change) We’ll miss you, Shaun Suisham.

Punter (1) – Brad Wing

Analysis: (One Change) I’ll flip-flop and put Wing here. Just seems to have a better leg and that gives him the edge.

Long Snapper (1) – Greg Warren

Analysis: (No Change) And there won’t be one, either.

Reserve/Suspended (1) – Le’Veon Bell

PUP (1) – Senquez Golson 

Practice Squad (10) – Tyler Murphy, Jawon Chisholm, C.J. Goodwin, Shakim Phillips, Cameron Clear, Mitchell Van Dyk, B.J. Finney, Ethan Hemer, Jordan Zumwalt, Ian Wild

Analysis: (Nine Changes) Complete upheaval of my practice squad. Clear is the only carryover from the first to second list. Murphy is really intriguing as this do-all player. He can be the scout team QB, play some receiver, and even be a special teams body in practice. They’re really giving him as many opportunities as possible and that really says something about what they think of him.

Phillips’ body control is impressive and earns him a hat on here, especially with all the injuries to the position that have helped crack the door. Goodwin lands here, too. Van Dyk is a road grader who looked just as good at guard as he did tackle. Finney reverts to the practice squad. Zumwalt’s solid play puts him back on here while Fogg continues to shine in practice. Safety was so tough for me but Wild edged out Alden Darby, who I originally had on here. Like I said, going to be some tough cuts. If Gerod Holliman was a UDFA and not a 7th rounder, no one would care that I left him off the list. I’ll think about putting him back on once he makes his first true tackle.

Kevin Fogg was a hard-luck loser on here. Just ran out of spots. Over 800 players are going to be cut by the time Week One begins. It’s part of the sport.

 

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