As usual, I will once again be tracking the TOX stats throughout the 2014 NFL season. This is simple stat, but its 80% win track record is certainly hard to ignore.
In case you need a refresher, the TOX stat is a measure of how many explosive plays (20-plus yards) teams create minus how many they give up. It also includes turnovers forced versus those given up in a game. Both are added together in each and every game and the differential is the final TOX number for that game. This year, however, I will also be including penalty plays that result in a gain of 20 yards or more. In other words, pass interference plays or plays less than 20 yards that have penalties tacked on that move the ball at least 20 yards forward from the original line of scrimmage.
This stat has stood the test of time as teams that come out of a game with a plus two or better TOX number generally win 80% of the time.
In week one of the 2014 season, teams that had a plus two or better TOX number combined to go a perfect 11-0 (100%).
Three teams, the Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers, led the way in Week 1 with a plus five TOX number.
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished week one with an even TOX number of zero yet they managed to hold on and beat the Cleveland Browns.
If this stat is not your cup of tea, feel free to just skip over it every week.
If you find any mistakes, please let me know in the comments.
| WEEK 1 | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | DIFF | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | DIFF | TOX | W/L | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | P 20+ | R 20+ | F 20+ | P 20+ | R 20+ | F 20+ | DIFF 20+ | INT | FUM | INT | FUM | TO DIFF | TOX | W/L |
| BUF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| DET | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| SF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| ATL | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| CAR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| CIN | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| SEA | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| HOU | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| MIN | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| NYJ | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | W |
| TEN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| DEN | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| PHI | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | W |
| SD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| MIA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | W |
| PIT | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | W |
| CLE | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | L |
| NE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| ARI | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | W |
| IND | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1 | L |
| JAX | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | L |
| KC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2 | L |
| OAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | L |
| STL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2 | L |
| WAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2 | L |
| BAL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3 | L |
| GNB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | L |
| TB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3 | L |
| NO | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -4 | L |
| CHI | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5 | L |
| DAL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -5 | L |
| NYG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5 | L |
